Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.180524 0.217007 0.256197 0.301130 0.350936 0.404178 0.465120
2025-02-16 0.125586 0.173005 0.228196 0.295945 0.375679 0.465427 0.572982
2025-02-23 0.086447 0.137795 0.202660 0.287590 0.392993 0.516886 0.670919
2025-03-02 0.055640 0.105263 0.173925 0.269994 0.395500 0.549021 0.746195
2025-03-09 0.039767 0.088815 0.162581 0.271761 0.420382 0.607826 0.854452
2025-03-16 0.026084 0.071322 0.146175 0.263778 0.430647 0.647455 0.939300
2025-03-23 0.020102 0.065038 0.145142 0.276591 0.468570 0.723058 1.070820
2025-03-30 0.013612 0.055065 0.136127 0.276051 0.487112 0.773071 1.170170
2025-04-06 0.009115 0.047172 0.128937 0.277008 0.507014 0.824726 1.272129
2025-04-13 0.006404 0.042229 0.126034 0.284093 0.535574 0.888356 1.390632
2025-04-20 0.004564 0.038603 0.124885 0.293611 0.567684 0.957220 1.516950
2025-04-27 0.003125 0.035115 0.123260 0.301879 0.597826 1.023662 1.640807
2025-05-04 0.001629 0.029362 0.115644 0.299192 0.611362 1.067758 1.736469
2025-05-11 0.000905 0.026128 0.113069 0.305234 0.638644 1.131940 1.860587
2025-05-18 0.000345 0.021808 0.106612 0.303222 0.652660 1.177034 1.958969
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.016155 0.094503 0.288676 0.645095 1.189945 2.012429
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.014016 0.091860 0.292682 0.668252 1.248444 2.130309
2025-06-08 NaN 0.010802 0.084341 0.285536 0.671873 1.277474 2.206690
2025-06-15 NaN 0.010398 0.086669 0.299769 0.712742 1.363350 2.364833
2025-06-22 NaN 0.008561 0.082720 0.299631 0.728301 1.410805 2.468475
2025-06-29 NaN 0.007112 0.079580 0.300892 0.746168 1.461896 2.577743
2025-07-06 NaN 0.006359 0.079213 0.308517 0.775550 1.531086 2.713753
2025-07-13 NaN 0.005867 0.079906 0.318649 0.809622 1.607886 2.861368